学术讲座

10月22日 | 陈海强:Climate Change and Wildfire Risks in China: A Nonparametric Trending Quantile Approach

时   间:2025年10月22日 15:00-17:00

地   点:普陀校区小教楼301

报告人:陈海强  深证大学特聘教授

主持人:於州  华东师范大学教授

摘   要:

This paper employs a novel nonparametric quantile model to examinedistributions and trending behaviors in the temperatures in China from 1979 to2018. The nonparametric model accounts for spatial heterogeneity and analyzeshistorical temperature data at multiple temperature quantiles. Our findingssuggest that trends are significant in the historical daily temperature data at thefishnet level with a resolution of0.5 x0.5, while the warming speed variesacross geographical locations in China. Further, we investigate the effect oftemperature warming on wildfires with respect to different seasons and find thatclimate change has a significant impact on wildfires, particularly at extremetemperatures. Finally, we observe that temperature effects are most pronouncedin shrublands, savannas, cropland, and regions with intensive human activity aswell as high altitudes.

报告人简介:

陈海强,美国康奈尔大学经济学博士,深圳大学金融科技学院院长、特聘教授、博士生导师,国家自然科学基金重点项目主持人(2项),教育部国家级青年人才(2020),福建省高等学校新世纪优秀人才,厦门市高层次引进人才。研究领域为数字经济、金融科技与风险管理。论文发表在AEA Papers and Proceedings, Journal of Econometrics, EconometricTheory, Econometrics Journal, Journal of Empirical Finance, Journal of《经济学》季刊和《管International Money and Finance,《经济研究》、理世界》等国内外重要学术期刊。两次获得国家高等教育教学成果奖等奖(2018,2023)、宝钢优秀教师(2021)、ChinaEconomic Review年度最佳论文(2017)、福建省第十二届社会科学优秀成果奖等奖项。在《经济日报》《中国社会科学报》等国内重要新闻媒体撰文,相关政策报告获国家领导人批示,

发布者:张瑛发布时间:2025-10-20浏览次数:10